Happy Friday!
It’s been a busy week and I’m preparing for tomorrow’s Open House at my newest listing! But first, I’ve had many people asking about the rumored real estate surge in Westchester following Mamdani’s mayoral victory. So, let’s break that down…
Today’s Topics:
Will Mamdani’s Victory in NYC Spike Sales in Westchester?
Luxury Market Triples Non-Luxury Growth
New Listing: Perfect Starter or Downsizer - Pristine First-Floor Condo
A ‘Mamdani Migration’ to Westchester County?

There’s been a surge of media hype around the idea that residents of New York City might flee following Zohran Mamdani’s victory. The speculation hasn’t just pointed to far-away destinations like Florida or the Carolinas, but also to nearby suburban hubs such as Westchester County, which could become an appealing landing zone for households looking to exit the city while remaining in the broader metro area. I looked into the polls that the media has been citing, and here’s what I found:
Victory Insights Poll (10/22 - 10/23)
500 very likely NYC voters:
26.5% would consider leaving NYC if Mamdani won.
68.4% would stay.
5.2% were undecided.
J.L. Partners / Daily Mail Poll (10/23-10/26)
500 registered voters:
25% would consider leaving NYC if Mamdani won.
9% would definitely leave.
Ralph’s Take
New York City has weathered plenty of “exodus scares” before, and history shows that far fewer people actually leave than say they will. Still, Westchester is a much smaller housing market than the city, so even a modest outflow of high-income households over the next year could have an impact here: pushing prices higher, fueling bidding wars in the $800K–$2.5M range, and tightening inventory further in communities with quick Metro-North access.
However, for brokers claiming a surge in demand in October: much of that likely stems from lower mortgage rates compared to last year (6.32% vs. 6.98%) and tighter inventory (805 single-family homes for sale, down from 925 in Westchester County a year ago).
Westchester Weekly Market Tracker 📈
‘Coming Soon’: 9 ↓-9
New Listings: 148 ↓-10
Price Reductions: 54 ↓-30
Pending Sales: 162 ↓-6
Closed Sales: 112 ↓-47
💰 Find your home’s value here!
Property Type: Residential. OneKey MLS, Inc. 11/7/25 - 11/14/25.
Luxury Home Prices Jump 3x Faster Than Average

Luxury housing continued to outperform the broader market in October, with prices up 5.5% — nearly triple the growth of non-luxury homes, according to Redfin. Strong equity markets and cash-heavy buyers are keeping high-end demand resilient, even as typical buyers remain constrained by current mortgage rates. Additional findings:
Number of sales: Luxury up 2.9%. Non-luxury sales at 0.7%.
Both markets are still near decade-low October levels.
Inventory: Luxury up 6.4%. Non-luxury up 9.5%
Highest October levels in 5 years, but still below pre-pandemic norms.
Days on Market: Luxury up to 58 days. Non-luxury up to 45 days.
Signaling a slower, more cautious market overall.
Ralph’s Take
The data in the report points to a market that’s cooling in pace but not in price. Luxury buyers, who often pay cash, are keeping high-end demand stable even as overall activity slows. The slightly higher inventory is giving buyers more options, but supply is still well below pre-pandemic levels, which continues to support upward pricing across the board.
New Listing: Perfect Starter or Downsizer: Pristine First-Floor Condo
OPEN HOUSE: Saturday, November 15th: 1:00 - 3:00pm
ADDRESS: 107 Nottingham Road, Apt D, Bedford Hills
Beautifully Maintained First-Floor Condo in Bedford Terrace! Perfectly situated between downtown Bedford Hills and the Village of Katonah, and close to Mount Kisco, this home offers low maintenance living with exceptional convenience and charm. Residents enjoy the Memorial Town Park with a pool and playground. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or a weekend escape, this move-in-ready first-floor condo captures the best of Bedford Hills living.
✂️ Just Missed the Cut
Mortgage Watch 📉
This week’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.34% (⬆️ 0.02 from this time last week.) Last year’s rate: 7.01%.
> The rate you may be eligible for can vary greatly from the daily average published via Mortgage News Daily.
Things to Do in Westchester This Weekend
Saturday, November 15th
Fall Fest, Rye
Fine Day Holiday Fair, Bedford
Goats on the Go, Katonah
Holiday Food Truck Market, Yonkers
Holiday Market and Train Show, Scarsdale
Senior Craft Fair, Mount Kisco
Shrek The Musical, Yorktown
Sticks & Stones Art Show, Bedford
The Ticking Tent Fall Market, Bedford
Upright Citizens Brigade Tour, Tarrytown
Westchester Songwriters’ Circle, Ossining
Sunday, November 16th
Fall Fest, Rye
Fine Day Holiday Fair, Bedford
Holiday Food Truck Market, Yonkers
Holiday Market and Train Show, Scarsdale
Shrek The Musical, Yorktown
Sticks & Stones Art Show, Bedford
Therapy Dog Fashion Show, Mount Kisco
Yoga in the Gardens, Katonah
This market is not perfect. I'm here to help.

Planning a move in 2026?
Let’s start the conversation — so when the time is right, you’re ahead.
Reply, call, or text message me: (914) 202-1101
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Learn your home's value and find recent comparable sales here
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With gratitude, Ralph 🫡






